GOLD TRYING TO REGAIN VALUE AFTER WEAKNESSBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD TRYING TO RECLAIM VALUE AFTER A WEAK WEEK
Gold had a heavy week, with sellers controlling most of the structure after price failed to hold the upper value zones. The market pushed lower from the 4,240 area and continued to create lower highs, showing that the broader pressure stayed on the sell side.
However, the final part of the week is starting to show a different reaction. Gold found support from the lower value area and is now trying to recover above the short-term base around 4,040 - 4,050. This is where the next direction will be decided.
Technical structure
On the 3H chart, gold is still recovering from the recent low, but the market has not fully reversed yet.
The key area now is 4,040 - 4,050. This zone decides whether the current bounce can continue or whether sellers regain control again. If buyers defend this area, gold can push higher towards the next resistance near 4,115 - 4,125.
The stronger resistance remains around 4,240 - 4,250, where sellers may defend aggressively if price reaches that area.
Important zones
Current decision zone: 4,040 - 4,050
This area decides whether the bounce can continue.
Reclaim zone: 4,115 - 4,125
Price needs to reclaim this zone to show stronger recovery.
Seller defense zone: 4,240 - 4,250
Major resistance where sellers may return.
Lower support area: 3,980 - 4,000
Key downside support if price loses the current base.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from 4,040 - 4,050
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price holds 4,040 - 4,050 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the decision zone or below the local swing low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,088
TP2: 4,115 - 4,125
TP3: 4,240 only if buyers reclaim value with strength
This setup is based on the current lower Volume Profile base, where buyers are trying to defend the rebound structure.
Final view
Gold finished the week still under broader bearish pressure, but the current bounce is not dead yet.
The main level is 4,040 - 4,050. If this zone holds, gold can continue the recovery towards 4,115 - 4,125. If it fails, price can rotate back towards 3,980 - 4,000.
For now, the professional approach is simple: watch the reaction at the decision zone. No confirmation, no trade.
Trade the retest. Respect the volume zone. 
Long
XAUUSD H4 — Liquidity Zones Decide The Next MoveXAUUSD H4 — Liquidity Zones Decide The Next Move
Gold is trading around $4,088 after recovering from the low near $3,958. The short-term reaction is bullish, but the H4 structure is not fully reversed yet. Price is now moving between a lower buy liquidity zone and a higher medium-term sell OB zone, so chasing the middle range is not ideal.
From an SMC perspective, gold created a CHoCH near the lower area and started to push upward. This shows that buyers are trying to defend the lower demand zone. However, above the current price, there are still major liquidity and supply areas that may attract selling pressure again.
The key buy zone is $4,013–$4,027. If gold pulls back into this zone and buyers defend it with clear bullish confirmation, price may continue toward $4,110–$4,125, then $4,175–$4,195. The main sell reaction zone is $4,175–$4,195, where the medium-term OB is located. If price reaches this area and fails to break higher, sellers may return.
Buy setup 1
Condition:
Gold pulls back into the $4,013–$4,027 buy liquidity zone and confirms bullish MSS / CHOCH on lower timeframe.
Entry: $4,013–$4,027
SL: below $3,985
TP1: $4,088
TP2: $4,110–$4,125
TP3: $4,175–$4,195
Buy setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks above the liquidity zone around $4,110–$4,125 and retests it as support, bullish continuation remains valid.
Entry: $4,110–$4,125 after breakout retest
SL: below $4,075
TP1: $4,150
TP2: $4,175–$4,195
TP3: $4,222
Sell setup
Condition:
Gold reaches the medium-term OB sell zone around $4,175–$4,195 and shows bearish rejection with MSS / CHOCH confirmation.
Entry: $4,175–$4,195
SL: above $4,222
TP1: $4,125
TP2: $4,088
TP3: $4,027
Key levels
Current price area: $4,088
Buy liquidity zone: $4,013–$4,027
Low area: $3,958
Liquidity zone: $4,110–$4,125
FVG area: $4,130–$4,160
Medium-term OB sell zone: $4,175–$4,195
Buy-side liquidity: $4,222
Month high: $4,383
Bullish confirmation: clean break above $4,125
Bearish reaction confirmation: rejection from $4,175–$4,195
Bullish invalidation: clean H4 close below $3,985
My current view is that gold is in a recovery phase after taking lower liquidity, but the safest Prime Gold plan is still to wait for price to reach major liquidity zones. I prefer buying only around the $4,013–$4,027 liquidity zone with confirmation, and watching for sell reaction if price reaches the $4,175–$4,195 OB zone.
No confirmation, no trade.
Long 
XAU- Medium-Term Bearish Structure Still Targets Lower LiquidityMASON XAUUSD – Medium-Term Bearish Structure Still Targets Lower Liquidity
XAUUSD is trading around 4,088 after recovering from the recent support area. Although gold is showing a short-term rebound, the medium-term structure remains bearish.
The main trend is still down, and any recovery toward resistance should be treated as a corrective wave unless price breaks back above the major supply structure.
Technical View
Gold is still moving inside a broad bearish structure. The chart shows a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows from the previous top area, which means sellers are still controlling the medium-term direction.
The latest rebound from the 3,960 support zone is only a technical reaction for now. Price has not broken the main bearish structure, and the recovery is moving back into a previous supply area.
The zone around 4,080–4,130 is important because it sits near the marked DOW secondary wave area. If price fails here and forms bearish rejection, this zone may become the next lower high before another downside continuation.
The 3,960 level is the nearest key support. If gold breaks below this area again, the next downside target is the weekly target around 3,752. A deeper bearish continuation can open the way toward the major target near 3,362.
Fibonacci also supports the bearish roadmap. The 2.618 extension area near 3,752 is marked as the weekly target, while the 3.618 extension near 3,362 is the deeper medium-term target.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,088
Short-term resistance: 4,080–4,130
DOW secondary wave zone: 4,100–4,130
Key support: 3,960
Weekly bearish target: 3,752
Major medium-term target: 3,362
Invalidation for bearish continuation: above 4,350
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,080–4,130
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, failed breakout, or lower high formation around the resistance zone.
SL: above 4,350
TP1: 3,960
TP2: 3,752
TP3: 3,362
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks above 4,130 and holds, price may continue a deeper corrective rebound toward 4,300–4,350. However, this would still be a correction unless the market breaks the full bearish structure.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority in the medium-term view. A short-term buy reaction may appear above 3,960, but it should be managed as a corrective move, not a confirmed trend reversal.
Final View
Overall, gold remains in a medium-term bearish structure. The current rebound can continue slightly higher, but the cleaner view is to watch for rejection around 4,080–4,130. If 3,960 fails, the next downside focus will be 3,752, followed by the deeper target around 3,362.
Will gold reject from the secondary wave zone, or extend the correction before the next bearish move?
Short 
MASON XAUUSD – Important Rebound Zone AheadMASON XAUUSD – Gold May Rebound Toward Fibonacci Before Next Decision
XAUUSD is trading around 3,997 after a strong bearish move inside the descending channel. Price remains below the Ichimoku cloud, so the main structure is still bearish.
However, gold is reacting near the strong liquidity zone and buy area around 3,960–3,990, so a short corrective rebound may appear before the next trend confirmation.
Technical View
Gold is still moving inside a clear bearish channel. The market has been creating lower highs and lower lows, showing that sellers are still controlling the main structure.
Price is also below the Ichimoku cloud. This means the broader trend has not shifted bullish yet. Any recovery from the current zone should be treated as a correction unless price can break above the cloud and hold.
The current area around 3,960–3,990 is important because it combines the marked buy zone and strong liquidity support. Price reacting here shows that sellers may slow down in the short term.
If buyers defend this zone, gold may recover toward 4,040–4,050 first, then the Fibonacci and liquidity area around 4,118. This is the key rebound target to watch.
The stronger resistance remains near 4,216. If price reaches this zone and rejects, the bearish trend may continue again.
Key Zones
Current price: 3,997
Buy reaction zone: 3,960–3,990
Short-term confirmation: 4,040–4,050
Fibonacci & liquidity zone: 4,118
Strong resistance: 4,216
Invalidation for recovery: below 3,960
Trading Plan
Buy Recovery Priority: 3,960–3,990
Condition: wait for bullish rejection, higher low, or price holding above the strong liquidity zone.
SL: below 3,960
TP1: 4,040–4,050
TP2: 4,118
TP3: 4,216
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks and holds above 4,050, wait for a retest before looking for continuation toward the Fibonacci liquidity zone at 4,118.
Sell View
Sell remains the main trend view while price stays below the Ichimoku cloud and inside the descending channel. A cleaner sell setup may appear if gold rejects from 4,118 or 4,216.
Final View
Overall, gold is still in a bearish structure, but the current liquidity zone may create a short corrective rebound. The key area to watch is 4,118, where Fibonacci and liquidity may decide the next move.
Will gold rebound toward the Fibonacci zone first, or break below the strong liquidity area directly?
Long 
Short
The Elliott Wave Triangle PlaybookTriangles are a trader’s best friend and worst nightmare.
They are notorious for driving technical analysts crazy. Why? Because while a triangle is forming, it looks exactly the same whether the market is preparing for a massive bullish breakout or setting a deadly trap for buyers.
To have different triangle notations, I have used Canara Bank spot chart on the left panel and the Futures chart on the right panel.
Look at the chart. We have a tightening squeeze with five sub-waves ( a-b-c-d-e ). It looks identical on both sides, but it can play out in two completely opposite ways.
Let’s break down the two faces of the triangle—and exactly how to trade them without guessing the direction.
The Two Faces of the Triangle
Scenario A: The Wave Four Launchpad (Bullish)
In a healthy uptrend, a triangle often shows up as Wave Four .
The Story: The market just made a powerful run ( Wave Three ) and needs to catch its breath. Big players are slowly accumulating shares without pushing the price too high.
The Result: Once the triangle finishes at wave e, the price violently explodes upward to make a brand-new high ( Wave Five ).
Scenario B: The Wave B Bull Trap (Bearish)
Sometimes, the big upward trend is already over ( Wave Five peak), and the market is entering a major correction.
The Story: The market drops hard ( Wave A ). Then, a triangle forms as Wave B . This is a deceptive sideways move designed to trick retail traders into thinking the bull market is back.
The Result: Once wave e finishes, the floor drops out, and the price crashes into a punishing Wave C decline.
The Golden Exclusion Rule
Before you look for a triangle, remember this core rule: Triangles never form in Wave Two. If you see a triangle right after a major trend begins, it is not a Wave Two. This rule alone will save you from countless bad trades.
How to Trade It: Stop Predicting, Start Trapping!
Don't waste your time or money trying to guess if Canara Bank is in Scenario A or Scenario B. Instead, react to the market by setting a trap on both sides.
Here is your mechanical, stress-free execution plan using key structural levels:
The Long Entry (Buying the Breakout)
The Trigger: Wait for the price to break above the wave d peak .
Why it works: Breaking this level proves the sequence of lower highs is broken. This officially triggers the move to Wave Five.
Safety Net (Stop Loss): Place it just below the wave e low .
The Short Entry (Buying the Crash)
The Trigger: Wait for the price to break below the wave b floor .
Why it works: Many traders get faked out by simple trendline breaks. By waiting for the actual wave b structural floor to snap, you confirm the entire triangle has collapsed into Wave C.
Safety Net (Stop Loss): Place it just above the wave e high .
Summary
By letting the market break wave d or wave b levels, you completely eliminate the guessing game.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. 
Education
Short 
XAUUSD|Descending Triangle Signals Potential Continuation LowerGold remains under bearish pressure after a strong impulsive decline, with price now consolidating inside a descending triangle on the 30-minute timeframe. The pattern is characterized by a series of lower highs against a flat support base near the 3,960 area, indicating that sellers continue to absorb buying interest.
Multiple retests of support suggest weakening demand, while the descending trendline continues to cap recovery attempts. As long as price remains below the trendline and the nearby supply zone around 4,000–4,020, the broader short-term bias remains bearish.
A confirmed breakdown below triangle support could trigger fresh selling momentum, exposing the 3,900 level as the next key downside objective. If bearish momentum accelerates, further downside expansion may follow toward lower support levels. Short 
Long 
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis: Market Structure Shift & H1 OB Re-testMarket OverviewGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD $) has undergone a classic market structure shift on the lower timeframes after finding a solid bottom around the $3,960$–$3,980$ region. Following a prolonged bearish trend marked by clear Break of Structure (BOS) levels to the downside, the asset has successfully shifted its character, breaking previous structural highs to the upside.
Technical Analysis & Key Confluences
Market Structure Shift: The chart highlights a recent bullish BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside, signaling that buyers are taking control and shifting the macro bearish momentum.
Bullish Flag/Channel: Following the upward expansion, price consolidated within a neat descending corrective channel (highlighted in red). This flag pattern served as liquidity generation before the strong bullish breakout.
H1 Order Block (H1-OB): Price has forcefully broken out of the flag and formed a Higher High. We are currently looking at a potential retest or continuation from the validated H1 Order Block (the blue zone marked around $4,030$ - $4,040$).
Trade Execution Strategy🚀 Trade Setup: Bullish ContinuationEntry Zone: Market execution near current levels ($4,046$) or on a minor pullback into the H1-OB zone ($4,035$ - $4,040$).Invalidation (Stop Loss): Below the H1 Order Block or the recent swing low (approx. $4,015$–$4,020$).Take Profit (Target): $4,080$ (The major liquidity pool and unmitigated structural high from the previous breakdown). Long 
Short 
Short 
Short 
Long 
Short 
Gold Recovery Faces Strong Resistance Below $4,100Gold has bounced from below the $4,000 level, but the broader trend still favours sellers. The current move looks more like a relief rally, with the $4,080–4,100 area likely to become the next major resistance.
The macro backdrop remains supportive for the US Dollar, and unless gold breaks above resistance with strong momentum, rallies may continue to attract fresh selling.
Trade Setup:
Sell Zone: $4,080 – $4,100
Stop Loss: $4,140
Take Profit 1: $3,980
Take Profit 2: $3,940 Short 
Long
GOLD holding decision zone after.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDING THE DECISION ZONE AFTER A WEAK WEEK
Gold had a difficult week, with price staying under pressure for most of the structure after sellers defended the upper value area. The early part of the week showed clear bearish momentum, pushing XAUUSD lower from the 4,080 resistance area into the lower value base.
However, the second half of the week is now showing a different message. Gold is no longer selling aggressively at the low. Price is compressing inside a rising corrective channel and reacting around the 4,010 area, where buyers are trying to defend the short-term structure.
The week can be summarised simply: sellers controlled the higher zones, but buyers are now trying to build a rebound from lower value.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold is trading inside a corrective recovery structure after the sharp decline earlier this week.
The key area now is the 4,020 zone. This is where price is trying to stabilise inside the channel. If buyers continue to defend this zone, gold can build a short-term rebound towards the VAL reaction area around 4,044 - 4,045.
Above that, the stronger resistance is the 4,080 - 4,085 zone, where sellers may defend again if price reaches it.
Below current price, the important support is 3,980 - 3,985. This area decides whether price stabilises or breaks lower. If gold loses this zone, the recovery structure weakens and sellers can regain full control.
Important zones
Current decision zone: 4,010 - 4,020
This is where buyers are trying to hold the short-term structure.
VAL buy reaction: 4,044 - 4,045
First upside target if gold continues the rebound.
Seller defence zone: 4,080 - 4,085
Major resistance where sellers may return.
Lower decision support: 3,980 - 3,985
This area decides whether price stabilises or breaks lower.
Trendline channel:
Gold is still holding inside the corrective recovery channel.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from 4,010 - 4,020
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price holds the 4,010 - 4,020 zone and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the local swing low or below the lower trendline channel.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,044 - 4,045
TP2: 4,080 - 4,085
TP3: Trail higher only if buyers break above the seller defence zone
This setup is based on the current Volume Profile reaction zone and the rising corrective channel. It is a rebound trade, not a confirmed long-term reversal.
Final view
Gold closed the week with pressure still visible, but the current structure is no longer clean bearish at the low.
The market is now standing in a decision zone. If buyers defend 4,010 - 4,020, gold can continue the corrective rebound towards 4,044 and possibly 4,080.
If 3,980 - 3,985 is lost, the recovery structure breaks and downside pressure can return.
For now, the professional approach is simple: watch the reaction around the current value zone. Do not chase. Wait for confirmation.
Trade the retest. Respect the volume zone. Long 
Long 
XAUUSD - Bearish Structure Holds, Sell From OB Remains PriorityXAUUSD — Bearish Structure Holds, Sell From OB Remains Priority
Gold is trading around $4,008 after reacting from the lower range and retesting near the short-term supply area. Although price has shown a recovery attempt, the main structure is still bearish while gold remains below the day high around $4,044 and below the OB sell zone.
From an SMC perspective, gold created a BOS to the downside, then pulled back into a potential OB reaction area. This kind of movement often shows a bearish continuation setup, especially when price fails to reclaim the previous high and starts rejecting from the supply zone.
The main area to watch is $4,020–$4,030. If gold retests this OB zone and shows bearish rejection, sellers may push price back toward sell-side liquidity around $3,973. A clean break below that liquidity area could open the path toward the low near $3,958 and the deeper target zone around $3,930 before the end of the week.
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold retests the OB sell zone around $4,020–$4,030 and forms bearish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $4,020–$4,030
SL: above $4,045
TP1: $3,990
TP2: $3,973
TP3: $3,958
Sell setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks below $3,973 and retests this level as resistance, bearish continuation remains valid.
Entry: below $3,973 after retest
SL: above $3,995
TP1: $3,958
TP2: $3,945
TP3: $3,930
Buy setup
Condition:
Buying is not the priority. A buy setup is only valid if gold breaks above $4,045, holds above the day high, and confirms bullish MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: above $4,045 after breakout retest
SL: below $4,015
TP1: $4,065
TP2: $4,085
TP3: $4,100
Key levels
Current price area: $4,008
OB sell zone: $4,020–$4,030
Day high: $4,044
Sell-side liquidity: $3,973
Low area: $3,958
Target zone: $3,930
Bearish continuation confirmation: clean break below $3,973
Bullish invalidation: clean 1H close above $4,045
My current view is that gold is still holding a bearish structure. The recovery is only a pullback as long as price stays below the OB and day high. The Prime Gold plan is to wait for price to retest the OB sell zone, confirm rejection, then follow the move toward lower liquidity.
No confirmation, no trade.
Short 
Short 
