Long
Short 
XAUUSD — Strong Bearish Pressure, No Clear Recovery Signal YetXAUUSD — Strong Bearish Pressure, No Clear Recovery Signal Yet
Gold is trading around $3,972 after a strong bearish drop from the short-term OB and FVG reaction zones. Price is still under pressure, and the current structure has not shown any clear sign of recovery yet.
From an SMC perspective, gold continues to create lower highs and lower lows after multiple MSS signals to the downside. The recent rejection from the $4,026–$4,032 OB area and the $3,989–$3,992 FVG sell zone shows that sellers are still defending the upper liquidity zones.
The main area to watch now is $3,989–$3,992. If gold retests this FVG zone and fails to reclaim it, bearish continuation remains valid. Below the current price, $3,941 is the next important low area. A clean break below this level may open the path toward the deeper target zone around $3,860–$3,870.
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold retests the FVG sell zone around $3,989–$3,992 and forms bearish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $3,989–$3,992
SL: above $4,010
TP1: $3,941
TP2: $3,900
TP3: $3,860–$3,870
Sell setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks below $3,941 and retests this level as resistance, bearish continuation remains valid.
Entry: below $3,941 after retest
SL: above $3,975
TP1: $3,900
TP2: $3,870
TP3: $3,850
Buy setup
Condition:
Buying is not the priority. A buy setup is only valid if gold breaks above $4,032, clears the OB zone, and confirms bullish MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: above $4,032 after breakout retest
SL: below $3,990
TP1: $4,063
TP2: $4,100
TP3: $4,180
Key levels
Current price area: $3,972
FVG sell zone: $3,989–$3,992
OB reaction zone: $4,026–$4,032
Buy-side liquidity: $4,063
Low attention zone: $3,941
Main bearish target: $3,860–$3,870
Bearish continuation confirmation: clean break below $3,941
Bullish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,032
My current view is that gold remains strongly bearish while price trades below the FVG and OB reaction zones. There is no clear recovery signal yet, so the Prime Gold plan is to avoid chasing the middle range and wait for price to retest major liquidity zones before looking for confirmation.
No confirmation, no trade.
Short 
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD TESTING SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LINEBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD IS TESTING THE LINE BETWEEN REBOUND AND BREAKDOWN
Gold is now trading at a dangerous but interesting location.
After rejecting from the Sell POC area around 4,025 - 4,030, price continued to rotate lower and is now pressing directly into the POC Support Reaction zone near 3,970 - 3,975.
This is not the middle of the range anymore. This is where the market has to make a decision.
Technical structure
On the short-term chart, gold is still under bearish pressure. The last recovery attempt failed below the Sell POC, which means buyers were not strong enough to hold value above 4,020.
Now price is testing the lower support base. If buyers defend 3,970 - 3,975, gold can build a corrective rebound back towards 4,000 and possibly 4,025.
But if this support fails, the next downside targets are already clear: 3,956 first, then 3,941.
This is the type of zone where late sellers can get trapped, but early buyers can also be punished if they enter without confirmation.
Important zones
POC Support Reaction: 3,970 - 3,975
Current decision zone.
Sell POC: 4,025 - 4,030
Main resistance if gold rebounds.
VAH Sell Zone: 4,060 - 4,065
Higher supply area.
Target 1: 3,956
First downside target if support breaks.
Target 2: 3,941
Deeper liquidity target.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from POC Support Reaction 3,970 - 3,975
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price holds 3,970 - 3,975 and shows a clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the support reaction zone or below the local sweep low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,000
TP2: 4,025 - 4,030
TP3: 4,060 only if buyers reclaim value strongly
This is a reaction trade, not a confirmed trend reversal.
Final view
Gold is sitting at a key decision zone.
If 3,970 - 3,975 holds, a rebound can form.
If this zone breaks, price may continue towards 3,956 and 3,941.
The chart is clean now: buyers must defend this support, or sellers will keep control.
Would you buy the reaction here, or wait for the breakdown below 3,956? Short 
XAUUSD: Elliott bearish wave developing.Gold is still trading under pressure after failing to hold the recovery structure above the 4,000 area. From Kelly’s view, the current chart is forming a bearish Elliott wave sequence, and price is now moving inside the next downside phase.
The key idea is simple: gold remains weak while price stays below the 3,970–3,980 resistance area, and the lower Elliott wave target is still open.
⟡ Market structure
The chart shows gold moving in a clear lower-high and lower-low structure. After the previous rebound failed near the 4,080 area, price rotated lower and is now trading back around the 3,960 zone.
The current resistance around 3,970–3,980 is important because it sits near the sell wave 5 zone. If buyers cannot reclaim this area, the market may continue following the bearish structure towards the lower support zone.
The downside area around 3,790–3,800 remains the main Elliott wave completion zone on the chart.
➤ Key levels
◌ 3,970–3,980: near-term sell wave 5 resistance
◌ 3,930–3,940: wave 4 reaction area
◌ 3,960: current price reaction zone
◌ 3,790–3,800: Elliott 5-wave cycle target
◌ Above 4,000: area where the bearish structure starts to weaken
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be building a bearish 5-wave structure after the corrective recovery ended.
Wave 1 created the first downside move from resistance.
Wave 2 corrected higher but failed to reclaim the previous structure.
Wave 3 pushed price lower with stronger momentum.
Wave 4 may be forming as a small consolidation near the current area.
If resistance continues to hold, wave 5 may extend lower towards the 3,790–3,800 zone.
This is why Kelly would not treat the current reaction as a full bullish reversal yet. The market is still trading below resistance, and the Elliott structure still favors one more downside leg.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for price to reject from the 3,970–3,980 sell zone before expecting wave 5 continuation.
Sell zone: 3,970–3,980 if bearish confirmation appears
Stop loss: above 4,000 or above the confirmed rejection high
Take profit 1: 3,930
Take profit 2: 3,880
Take profit 3: 3,790–3,800
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks above 4,000 and holds with strong acceptance, the bearish wave 5 setup weakens and the chart may need a new short-term reading.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, this is still a bearish Elliott structure. The market has not shown enough strength to confirm a reversal, and the current reaction is happening directly below resistance.
As long as gold stays below the sell wave 5 zone, the cleaner structure remains to the downside.
Gold is still forming a bearish wave sequence. If resistance holds, the final wave may continue towards the lower Elliott target.
Share your view below. Short 
GOLD H1 - Institutional Relief Trap Before Final 3,900 Drop?⚖️ Macro Backdrop: Q3 Position Adjustments & Persistent Macro Weight
Gold markets open the first trading session of July 2026 under localized distribution pressure, hovering at the 3,972.185 handle. As global institutions initiate their Q3 portfolio rebalancing, market flows remain strictly dictated by macro yields and monetary policy expectations. The U.S. 10-Year Treasury yields and the Dollar Index (DXY) continue to maintain aggressive multi-month structural footing, choking out non-yielding bullion's long-term recovery attempts.
While temporary mid-week positioning creates localized intraday liquidity pockets, the overarching institutional order flow is fundamentally defensive. Today's price action represents a classic volume engineering phase; the smart money is utilizing pre-scheduled economic quiet windows to build high-premium sell positions before launching the next major structural markdown leg.
📉 Technical Narrative: Descending Wedge Squeeze & Two-Way Mitigation Playbook
The updated technical framework on the H1 chart delivers a pristine showcase of Smart Money Concepts (SMC) combined with structural trend confluences:
1. Bearish Order Flow Control: Price is heavily constrained within a large descending compression structure, capped by a dominant lower-timeframe primary descending trendline. The overall order flow is strictly bearish.
2. The Proposed Relief Trap (Black Path): Current price action is attempting to engineer a short-term corrective relief bounce. The immediate upside magnet is the unmitigated H1 Supply block (the gray box) resting around 4,010.000 - 4,020.000. This minor lift is a designed buy-side inducement to trap early breakout bulls.
3. The Trendline Intersection Rejection: Upon mitigating the gray supply ceiling, a sharp institutional rejection is projected to take place. The primary target is to break below the near-term ascending support trendline.
4. The Ultimate Target Pool (3,900 Area): Once the compression floor is dismantled, volume expansion will drive the market down into a multi-stage liquidation phase. The ultimate objective is a clean sweep of the Major Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) Pool resting inside the deep HTF discount demand zone (blue box) around 3,900.000.
🔄 IF-THEN Playbook (Execution Scenarios):
• IF price executes the ziczac relief rally up to the 4,015 supply ceiling and prints a lower-timeframe structural failure (M5/M15 CHoCH Rejection) -> THEN trigger premium short positions targeting the break of 3,960, looking for an extended expansion down to the 3,900 ultimate floor.
• IF price breaks cleanly above the upper descending trendline with a solid H1 candle close above 4,040 -> THEN the immediate bearish expansion thesis is paused, and we must step aside.
🎯 Trading Metrics Summary:
• Current Floating Price: 3,972.185
• Premium Supply Entry Area: 4,010.000 - 4,020.000 (Waiting for LTF CHoCH)
• Compression Support Floor: 3,950.000 Area
• Ultimate Macro Target Floor: 3,900.000 Area (Major SSL Pool)
• Structure Invalidation Level: Decisive H1 candle close above 4,040.000
💡 Trader Question: Are you looking to scalp-long this minor corrective bounce back to the 4,015 gray box, or are you sitting tight waiting to short the premium rejection down to the 3,900 macro floor?
Let me know your playbook in the comments below! Short 
XAUUSD Today’s Plan — The Market Is Testing PatienceGold is not giving a clean direction yet.
Price is trading around the 3,970 - 3,980 area, still under the short-term downtrend line and below the main sell zone near 4,024.
This is exactly the kind of area where many traders rush in too early.
But for me, the clean setup is not in the middle.
The clean setup is at the reaction zone.
THE SIMPLE READ
Gold is now sitting close to an important support area between 3,963 and 3,942.
If buyers defend this zone, we may see a recovery move back toward 4,010 - 4,024.
But if this support fails, the chart can open the way for a deeper move toward 3,871.
So today’s plan is simple:
Support reaction first.
Confirmation second.
Trade last.
KEY ZONES TODAY
Current price area: 3,970 - 3,980
First support reaction: 3,963
Liquidity support: 3,942
Main resistance / sell zone: 4,024
Recovery area: 4,010 - 4,024
Deeper downside target: 3,871
TODAY’S PLAN
📈 Buyer Reaction Plan
If gold holds the 3,963 - 3,942 support area:
→ I will watch for a bullish reaction
→ A clean reaction may push price back toward 4,010
→ If buyers stay strong, 4,024 becomes the next test
→ Buy idea only after confirmation
→ Invalidation: price breaks clearly below 3,942
📉 Bearish Continuation Plan
If gold breaks below 3,942 and fails to reclaim it:
→ Sellers may stay in control
→ Price may continue toward 3,871
→ Sell idea only after breakdown confirmation
→ No breakdown confirmation = no sell
📉 Sell From Resistance Plan
If gold bounces into 4,010 - 4,024 but fails there:
→ I will watch for seller reaction
→ A rejection from this zone may send price back toward 3,963 and 3,942
→ Sell idea only after bearish confirmation
→ Invalidation: clean break and hold above 4,024
Tiara’s Tip:
The chart does not reward speed.
It rewards patience.
Today, the mistake is not missing the first move.
The mistake is entering before the market shows its reaction.
For me, 3,963 - 3,942 is the key support zone.
If it holds, gold may bounce.
If it breaks, the downside path becomes clearer.
Main view:
I’m not guessing the move.
I’m waiting for gold to speak at support.
What are you watching today — 🟢 support bounce or 🔴 deeper sell-off? Short 
Gold (XAUUSD) outlook & trade setup for 01-07-2026
Gold is consolidating in a side way direction form last 6 trading sessions, and has shown multiple bounce backs form the support zone of ~3960, and has seen bearish pressure at 4097 levels, bullish trendline within the range, which was acting as support earlier has rejected an up-move after price had broken below it (marked by red arrow), overall trends is bearish, price might see a bounce back form the current support levels after a consolidation, but only if price breaks below the consolidating range and support zone, we might see a new low forming below 3942, retesting 3900 could be a reality.
Summary: Clear bearish biasness, low conviction pullback trades could be attempted, Bearish trades should be preferred.
For Educational Purposes only, Not an Investment Advice, Always use strict Risk management measures.
Regards CrazyTrades247.
Short 
XAUUSD – Bearish Channel Structure Below ResistanceGold (XAUUSD) is trading within a well-defined bearish channel on the 1-hour timeframe, continuing to print lower highs and lower lows, which reflects sustained downside momentum.
After another rejection from the upper boundary of the channel, price has moved lower and is currently trading below the 4,095 resistance zone. As long as price remains inside the channel and below this resistance, sellers may continue to have a short-term technical advantage.
The lower boundary of the channel aligns with the 3,847 support area, which may act as the next technical level to watch if bearish momentum continues. However, if buyers manage to push price above the channel resistance with a confirmed breakout, the current bearish structure could weaken and open the door for a broader recovery.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,095
Support / Channel Target Area: 3,847
Technical View
Bearish Channel
Lower Highs & Lower Lows
Resistance Rejection
Trend-Following Structure
This analysis is based solely on price action and chart structure. Always wait for your own confirmation and manage risk according to your trading plan. Short 
XAUUSD (Daily): Is $3,888 On The Cards As Warsh Speaks?Market Condition: High-Impact Central Bank Volatility / Macro Trend Analysis
Bias: Bearish Distribution
The Big Picture:
Welcome to Q3. Today marks the start of a new trading quarter, which means institutional funds are actively resetting their portfolios. This major structural pivot happens right as the new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh, takes the stage at the ECB Sintra Forum. Given his hawkish stance on inflation, any strong commentary today will likely inject major volume into the market.
The Technical Setup:
The Macro Trend: Gold has been in a clear bearish distribution phase, making consistent lower highs and lower lows.
The $3,888 Liquidity Magnet: The long horizontal line at the bottom represents a massive pool of Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) stretching back to late last year. The market algorithm's main objective right now is to clear out those old swing-long stop losses. Our ultimate macro target sits at $3,888.
Fundamentals Meet Technicals : A hawkish stance from Chair Warsh makes the US Dollar strong, which acts as a heavy weight on Gold. The chart gives us the technical target ($3,888), and the hawkish news provides the market with the delivery speed to get there.
Manage your risk and protect your profits.
Disclaimer: Educational purposes only. No tips or financial advice. Short 
XAUUSD – Gold Is Testing A Critical Fibonacci Reaction Zone XAUUSD – Gold Is Testing A Critical Fibonacci Reaction Zone
Gold is sitting at a very interesting point on the H1 chart.
After failing to hold above the previous accumulation zone, price has continued to move lower inside the descending channel. Gold is now trading around 3,974, right near the Fibonacci reaction area. This is not just a random pullback — this is a zone where the market may decide whether to pause, bounce, or continue the next bearish leg.
The chart is showing pressure, but also a possible short-term reaction. That makes this area very important for today.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Gold remains sensitive to USD strength, Treasury yields, and market expectations around interest rates. When the dollar stays supported, gold usually struggles to build a strong recovery.
For now, the technical structure is giving the clearest signal. Price is still below key resistance zones, so buyers need a strong reaction before any recovery view becomes reliable.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + FIBONACCI
From an SMC perspective, gold is still moving inside a bearish channel. The broader structure continues to show lower highs and lower lows, which means sellers are still controlling the main direction.
The previous sell zone around 4,007 – 4,029 has already acted as resistance. Price failed to hold above that area and started moving lower again. This confirms that sellers are still defending the accumulation zone.
The current price is now reacting near the Fibonacci support area around 3,970 – 3,975. This is the short-term decision zone. If buyers can defend this area, gold may create a corrective bounce back toward 4,007 and possibly 4,029.
However, if price fails to hold this Fibonacci reaction zone, the next downside move may open toward the lower channel area around 3,930 – 3,940. That would keep the bearish structure fully active.
The most important part of this chart is simple: gold is not fully reversing yet. It is only testing whether buyers have enough strength to slow down the decline.
KEY PRICE ZONES TO WATCH
Current price: 3,974
Fibonacci reaction zone: 3,970 – 3,975
Lower channel target: 3,930 – 3,940
Sell zone support: 4,007
Accumulation sell reaction zone: 4,007 – 4,029
Main resistance: 4,029
Upper liquidity zone: 4,055 – 4,065
Bearish channel resistance: Around 4,030 – 4,055
Invalidation for bearish continuation: Above 4,029
TRADING SCENARIOS
Buy Scenario – Short-Term Reaction Only
If gold holds the 3,970 – 3,975 Fibonacci reaction zone and shows bullish confirmation, I will watch for a short-term bounce.
Buy Zone: 3,970 – 3,975
Entry: Bullish rejection, liquidity sweep, or lower-timeframe bullish CHoCH
SL: Below 3,970 or below the nearest swing low
TP1: 4,007
TP2: 4,029
Sell Scenario – Priority Trend View
If gold bounces into 4,007 – 4,029 and shows rejection, I will watch for sell continuation from the accumulation reaction zone.
Sell Zone: 4,007 – 4,029
Entry: Bearish rejection, failed reclaim, lower-timeframe bearish CHoCH, or strong bearish displacement
SL: Above 4,029 or above the nearest swing high
TP1: 3,975
TP2: 3,940
TP3: 3,930
Alternative Sell Scenario
If gold breaks below 3,970 with strong momentum, the short-term bounce idea becomes weaker.
Sell Condition: Clean breakdown below 3,970, followed by retest and bearish confirmation
Target: 3,940 – 3,930
MY VIEW ON GOLD
My current view for gold is still bearish while price remains below 4,007 – 4,029.
The market is now testing a sensitive Fibonacci reaction area. This is where buyers may try to create a bounce, but the larger structure is still not bullish yet. For me, the cleanest sell setup is not at the bottom — it is after a rebound into resistance.
If gold holds 3,970 – 3,975, a short-term bounce toward 4,007 – 4,029 is possible. But if that resistance rejects again, sellers may continue driving price toward the lower channel.
Overall, gold is at a decision point. A bounce can happen here, but the trend still belongs to sellers until buyers reclaim 4,029 with strength.
Do you think gold will defend the Fibonacci reaction zone, or will sellers break it and push price toward 3,930?
Short 
# **XAU/USD Technical Analysis (45-Minute Chart)– Bearish Pressure Remains, Recovery Depends on Key Support**
XAU/USD continues to trade within a **short-term bearish structure** on the 45-minute timeframe, with sellers maintaining overall control despite signs of slowing downside momentum. Price remains below the dynamic resistance zone (red trend ribbon), indicating that the broader trend still favors bears until a confirmed breakout occurs.
The market recently attempted a recovery from the **3,960–3,970 support region**, but buying momentum remains limited as each rally continues to face rejection beneath the descending resistance band. This reflects a market that is still producing **lower highs and lower lows**, a classic indication of a bearish trend.
From a momentum perspective, the **RSI is trading around 33**, approaching oversold territory. While this suggests that selling pressure may be weakening, there is not yet a confirmed bullish divergence or strong reversal signal. A short-term rebound remains possible, but buyers need to reclaim higher resistance levels before sentiment shifts decisively.
The multi-timeframe signal panel also highlights mixed conditions. The **5-minute timeframe is bullish**, suggesting an intraday bounce may develop, while the **15-minute, 45-minute, and Daily timeframes remain bearish**, indicating that any upward movement could simply be a corrective rally within the broader downtrend. The **4-hour timeframe remains supportive**, reinforcing the possibility of a temporary recovery if current support holds.
Technically, the **3,960–3,970 zone** is the immediate support area. Holding above this level could allow buyers to target the first resistance near **4,000**, followed by the projected recovery objective around **4,025**, which aligns with the target shown on the chart. However, failure to defend current support would likely expose the market to another wave of selling toward lower price levels.
Overall, the market remains **bearish in structure**, but oversold momentum and nearby support increase the probability of a short-term corrective bounce. Traders should monitor price action around current support closely, as a confirmed break above the dynamic resistance ribbon would strengthen the bullish recovery scenario, while a rejection would favor continuation of the prevailing downtrend Long 
XAUUSD: Buyers Have One Chance at 3,962 XAUUSD: Buyers Have One Chance at 3,962
Market Context
Gold is trading near 3,976 and reacting directly from the Buy Decision Point. The short-term structure remains weak, but this is the area where buyers must show up if they want to stop the current decline.
The main story is simple: gold is not bullish yet, but the downside move is reaching a reaction zone. Buyers may attempt a short-term rebound, but if 3,962 fails, the market can quickly open toward 3,940 - 3,950.
Technical Structure
Gold is still moving inside a weak structure after failing to reclaim the upper zones. The recent selloff confirms that sellers remain active, and the current bounce is only valid if price holds above the 3,962 support area.
The key reaction zone is around 3,962 - 3,980. If price holds this area and forms bullish confirmation, a corrective rebound may develop toward 4,030 - 4,050.
But the 4,030 - 4,050 zone is not a clean bullish breakout area. It is the first place where sellers may return. Above that, the 4,060 - 4,070 reclaim failure zone and the 4,070 - 4,095 major supply zone remain strong resistance.
Key Levels
Current Price: 3,976
Buy Decision Point: 3,962 - 3,980
Downside Risk Zone: 3,940 - 3,950
Weak Bounce Sell Zone: 4,030 - 4,050
Reclaim Failure Zone: 4,060 - 4,070
Major Supply Zone: 4,070 - 4,095
Bearish Continuation: Below 3,962
Trading Plan
Buy Scenario: Short-Term Rebound
Entry: Above 3,980 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 3,950
TP1: 4,010
TP2: 4,030
TP3: 4,050
Conditions: Price must hold the 3,962 - 3,980 Buy Decision Point, form bullish rejection, and show a clear lower-timeframe CHOCH. This is only a corrective rebound setup, not a full trend reversal. Avoid chasing if price reaches 4,030 - 4,050 too quickly without a clean retest.
Sell Scenario: Sell From Weak Bounce Zone
Entry: 4,030 - 4,050 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,070
TP1: 3,980
TP2: 3,962
TP3: 3,950
Conditions: Price rebounds into the weak bounce sell zone but fails to continue higher. Bearish rejection appears, buyers lose momentum, and price fails to reclaim 4,050. This remains the priority sell area while the main structure stays weak.
Alternative Sell Scenario: Sell From Major Supply
Entry: 4,060 - 4,095 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,120
TP1: 4,030
TP2: 3,980
TP3: 3,962
Conditions: Price recovers into the upper supply area but fails to break structure. Sellers defend the reclaim failure zone, bearish candles appear, and price starts forming lower highs again.
Breakdown Sell
Entry: Below 3,962 after confirmed breakdown and retest
Stop Loss: Above 3,980
TP1: 3,950
TP2: 3,940
TP3: 3,920
Conditions: Price breaks below the Buy Decision Point, retest fails, and bearish momentum continues. This would confirm that buyers failed to defend the floor and the downside leg can extend lower.
Overall Bias
The main trend remains weak. Gold is reacting from a key buy decision zone, but buyers still need confirmation before any rebound becomes valid.
If 3,962 - 3,980 holds, a short-term bounce toward 4,030 - 4,050 can develop. If 3,962 breaks, the next downside move toward 3,940 - 3,950 becomes more likely.
For now, the best plan is simple: wait for confirmation at the buy zone, then watch how price reacts near 4,030 - 4,050.
Will buyers defend 3,962, or will sellers break the floor and continue the decline?
Long 
Short 
XAUUSD – Bearish Pressure Holds Below Ichimoku And TrendlineMASON XAUUSD – Bearish Pressure Holds Below Ichimoku And Trendline
XAUUSD is trading around 3,980 after failing to recover strongly from the recent support area. Price remains below the Ichimoku structure and under the descending trendline, so the main bias is still bearish.
The priority view is to look for sell confirmation on pullbacks, especially if gold retests the sell order zone.
Technical View
Gold is still moving under bearish pressure. The recent recovery attempt failed to break the descending trendline, showing that buyers have not taken control of the structure yet.
Price is also trading below the Ichimoku resistance area. This supports the bearish view because the cloud and Ichimoku lines are still acting as dynamic resistance above price. As long as gold stays below this structure, every rebound should be treated as a correction.
The trendline is important because it continues to cap the upside. If price pulls back into the 3,998–4,018 sell order zone and rejects, this may confirm another lower high inside the bearish trend.
The 3,943 support is the first downside area to watch. If gold breaks below this level, selling pressure may continue toward the Fibonacci 1.618 area near 3,910.
The deeper bearish target is the Fibonacci extension zone around 3,810–3,825. This area becomes more realistic if gold breaks support cleanly and fails to recover above the sell zone.
Key Zones
Current price: 3,980
Sell order zone: 3,998–4,018
Short-term resistance: 4,018
Upper liquidity area: 4,037–4,064
Nearest support: 3,943
Fibonacci 1.618 target: 3,910
Fibonacci extension target: 3,810–3,825
Invalidation: above 4,064
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 3,998–4,018
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, failed breakout above 4,018, or lower high formation below the descending trendline.
SL: above 4,064
TP1: 3,943
TP2: 3,910
TP3: 3,810–3,825
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks below 3,943 directly, wait for a retest of this level as resistance before looking for sell continuation toward 3,910 and the Fibonacci extension target.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority while price stays below the Ichimoku structure and descending trendline. A buy setup only becomes safer if gold breaks above 4,064 and holds above the liquidity area.
Final View
Overall, gold remains in a bearish structure. The cleaner plan is to wait for price to retest the sell order zone, then watch for rejection. As long as 4,018–4,064 holds as resistance, the downside path toward 3,943, 3,910, and 3,810–3,825 remains in focus.
Will gold reject from the sell order zone first, or break support directly toward the Fibonacci extension target?
Short 
Short 
XAUUSD 4H Analysis | Bullish Reversal From Key Support?Gold is showing signs of building a bullish reversal after finding strong support around the 3,930–3,950 demand zone. Following the recent bearish trend, price has formed a rising channel, suggesting buyers are gradually regaining control.
The highlighted entry zone lies around 4,020–4,035, where price is currently retesting the lower boundary of the ascending channel. If buyers defend this area and a bullish confirmation candle appears, the probability of an upside continuation increases.
The first obstacle is the recent swing highs near 4,100, while a successful breakout above this level could open the path toward the projected target around 4,225.
Key Levels
Buy Zone: 4,020–4,035
Support: 3,930
Target: 4,225
Invalidation: A sustained close below 3,930 would invalidate the bullish setup and could expose Gold to another wave of selling.
Trading Outlook
Although the higher-timeframe trend remains under pressure, this setup represents a potential counter-trend recovery from a major support zone. Patience is essential—wait for bullish confirmation before entering rather than anticipating the breakout.
Recent broader market conditions have remained challenging for gold due to a strong U.S. dollar and expectations of tighter monetary policy, making confirmation at support especially important.
Trade what the market confirms, not what you expect. Long 
June Gold Trading Review & Market Outlook
Hello traders! June trading is coming to an end. Looking back on this month, we have once again delivered a very satisfying performance. Our team achieved a total profit of 15,000+ pips this month, with an average daily profit of around 680 pips per trading day. This is not only a breakthrough in numbers, but also a strong reflection of our trading strategy, technical analysis ability, and risk management execution.
The gold market this month was highly complex and not easy to trade. On one hand, uncertainty around the U.S.–Iran agreement continued to affect market risk sentiment. On the other hand, market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s future policy path kept changing, and rate hike expectations increased at one point, causing gold prices to remain in a low-level consolidation and repeated adjustment phase for a long period.
In such a market environment, many traders can easily fall into the trap of chasing highs, selling lows, and frequently hitting stop-losses.
But we have always adhered to one core principle:
We don't trade blindly. We only trade high-probability opportunities.
This month, we relied on professional technical analysis to make multi-dimensional judgments across the 4-hour, 1-hour, and shorter-term chart structures. By combining key support and resistance levels, trendlines, Bollinger Bands, moving averages, and MACD momentum changes, we accurately captured multiple high-profit swing trading opportunities.
Especially during periods when gold repeatedly experienced sharp declines followed by rebounds, range-bound consolidation, and rejection at key resistance levels, we were not affected by market emotions. Instead, we always executed according to our plan. Whether selling from higher levels or taking short-term rebounds near support areas, we maintained clear trading logic and well-defined entry and exit standards. This is also the key reason why we were able to continue making profits in such a complex market.
Truly stable profitability does not come from luck, nor from heavy-position gambling. It comes from professional analysis, patient waiting, strict execution, and a complete risk control system.
Looking ahead to next month, the gold market will still be full of opportunities. As the market continues to focus on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, changes in the U.S. Dollar Index, geopolitical developments, and global safe-haven sentiment, gold prices are likely to maintain a relatively large range of volatility.
For us, volatility means opportunity — but opportunities always belong to those who are prepared. We will continue to adjust our trading strategies in a timely manner based on real-time candlestick structures and market news, leading everyone to capture higher-quality entry opportunities.
In the new month, our goal remains clear:
Trade steadily, manage risk strictly, and pursue consistent profits.
Thank you to every member for your trust and support. Your execution and patience are an important foundation for our shared success. Going forward, we will continue to maintain professionalism, focus, and high standards, helping everyone grow in the market and steadily improve their trading ability.
Wishing everyone smooth trading, continuous account growth, and steady profits!
XAUUSD: ChoCH Before Bearish ContinuationXAUUSD remains within a broader bearish market structure despite the recent recovery from the 3960 demand zone. The series of Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside confirms that sellers continue to dominate the higher-timeframe trend, while the latest rally appears corrective rather than impulsive.
The recent Change of Character (ChoCH) indicates a short-term shift in momentum, suggesting that buyers have regained temporary control. However, this alone is not enough to confirm a bullish trend reversal. Until price breaks the previous lower high and establishes a bullish market structure, the overall bias remains bearish.
From a Smart Money perspective, the current price action appears to be developing within a premium zone where buy-side liquidity is resting above the recent highs. A brief liquidity sweep into this area could provide institutional participants with the liquidity needed before initiating the next bearish expansion. Such a move would align with the projected scenario of a final push higher followed by a strong rejection.
If sellers defend the current resistance zone, the existing bearish structure is likely to remain intact, increasing the probability of another impulsive move toward the recent lows. Conversely, a sustained breakout above the current resistance and a confirmed higher high would weaken the bearish outlook and shift market structure in favor of buyers.
The next reaction around the highlighted liquidity zone will be critical in determining whether this ChoCH develops into a genuine trend reversal or simply serves as a liquidity inducement before bearish continuation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Liquidity Zone / Resistance: 4035–4085
Immediate Support: 4000
Major Bearish Target: 3960–3925
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), market structure, and current price action. It is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always wait for confirmation and apply proper risk management before entering any trade. Short 
Long 
