XAUUSD — Gold Remains Heavy Below 4,226 XAUUSD — Gold Remains Heavy Below 4,226
Gold is opening the new week with a weak technical structure after the sharp decline from last week. Although price is attempting to stabilize around the 4,140 - 4,150 area, the current reaction is still not strong enough to confirm a real recovery.
From an SMC perspective, the short-term structure remains under bearish pressure. Price has already lost several important support areas, and those broken zones are now turning into potential supply. The recent
Futures market
H1 Pullback Into Support Before Recovery
XAUUSD is trading around 4,160 after recovering from the lower boundary of the current H1 structure. Price has returned to the 4,150–4,164 Major Demand Zone, but the chart still suggests that a deeper liquidity pullback toward the lower support area may occur before a cleaner recovery develops.
The macro backdrop has turned more supportive for gold after the latest U.S. labor report. September nonfarm payrolls increased only 29K versus 90K expected, unemployment rose to 4.2% from 4.1%, and annu
Xauusd gold today update level 6.10.2026.*🟡 XAU USD (GOLD) – TODAY UPDATE 🟡 ⏰*
*Validity: 6-10-26*
*🔹 Bullish Scenario (BUY)*
*• Trend Confirmation: Above 4171*
*• Targets: 4190– 4210*
*🔻 Bearish Scenario (SELL)*
*• Trend Confirmation: Below 4113*
*• Targets: - 4098-4073*
*🔄Key Reversal /Entry : 4144*
Gold Spot U.S. Dollar 45 Minute Chart Market Structure
Gold remains under short term bearish pressure after a strong rejection from the 4220 to 4225 supply zone. The chart shows repeated bearish market structure shifts, with lower highs forming after each recovery attempt. Price is currently trading around 4136, below the main supply area, indicating that sellers still have control of the short term structure.
The recent rebound toward 4170 to 4180 failed to produce a sustained breakout. This rejection reinforces the possibility o
Short Gold - 15 min Time FrameGold on the 15-minute timeframe looks like a potential short opportunity. Price is below the EMA and has formed a bearish/red candle, suggesting possible further downside. The setup will be monitored, and a short entry can be considered based on the chart, with the SL and targets already marked.
Early-Week Gold Analysis
In the short term, gold is exhibiting a classic pattern of weak, corrective oscillation; rebounds lack vigor, and the lack of follow-through is frustrating. Don't expect a sharp V-shaped reversal right now—that simply isn't in the cards. Looking at the weekly and daily charts, gold remains in a high-level retracement phase; medium-to-long-term moving averages are still sloping upward, meaning the underlying bullish structure hasn't been completely destroyed.
The problem, however, is that the
Gold Price Analysis (October 5):Gold Price Analysis (October 5):
4100 is the key support level for the current gold price.
Despite the unexpectedly weak Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, gold prices failed to rally; the primary reason is that US Treasury yields did not fall in tandem with the weak NFP data.
Technical Outlook:
The 4100–4200 range defines the volatility band for short-term trading.
Upside Resistance Levels:
4170–4190–4200–4225
Downside Support Levels:
4150–4130 → 4100
Key Variables This Week:
The minutes of
BRIAN XAUUSD – WEEKLY VOLUME PROFILE MAP: GOLD STILL UNDER SELLEBRIAN XAUUSD – WEEKLY VOLUME PROFILE MAP: GOLD STILL UNDER SELLER VALUE
Gold closed the week with a very important message:
The recovery attempts are still weak, and the higher-timeframe structure is still controlled by sellers.
Throughout the week, gold stayed trapped below the main recovery zones. Buyers tried to defend the lower value area around 4,110 - 4,180, but every recovery attempt failed to create strong acceptance above the short-term value range. This tells me the market is not in
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD RECOVERY STILL TRAPPED BELOW SELL POC BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD RECOVERY STILL TRAPPED BELOW SELL POC
Gold is starting the new week with a small recovery attempt, but the bigger structure is still not clean bullish yet.
Price is holding around 4,150 - 4,165 after buyers reacted again from the lower value area. This shows there is demand at the lows, but the recovery is still happening under a strong downtrend line and below the main Sell POC.
The macro background is still not fully supportive for gold. The US Dollar has returned near a
XAUUSD — Bearish Fibonacci RejectionFundamental Analysis
The September U.S. payrolls report came in well below expectations at 29K vs 90K, while unemployment rose to 4.2%. The data reduced near-term expectations for an October Fed hike and initially supported Gold. However, the bullish reaction was not sustained as Treasury yields remained elevated and the dollar stayed relatively firm. Reuters
The macro balance is therefore mixed: weaker labor data supports lower-rate expectations, but high long-term yields remain a significant h
XAUUSD — 4,184 Retest or 4,041 Sweep?
Gold is trading around 4,159 after holding the H2 support area. The broader structure remains slightly bearish, with price still below the descending trendline.
Macro News
Weak September jobs data has sharply reduced expectations for an October Fed hike, with markets now pricing only around an 18% chance. However, the U.S. dollar remains firm as Treasury yields stay elevated and global fiscal concerns support safe-haven USD demand.
The simple read
4,134 is the key support.
If buyers defend
XAUUSD — Bearish Wave 5 Toward 4,060
From Kelly’s view, gold has shifted into a short-term bearish structure after losing the previous rising channel. Price is currently trading around 4,160, directly below an important Wave (2) sell zone, while the latest rebound still looks corrective rather than a confirmed bullish reversal.
The key idea is simple: if sellers continue to defend the 4,160–4,180 resistance area, gold may resume the bearish Elliott Wave sequence toward 4,110 first and potentially the 4,055–4,065 Fibonacci target z
XAUUSD: Recovery Starts, But Sellers Still Own 4,305 XAUUSD: Recovery Starts, But Sellers Still Own 4,305
Market Context
Gold is trying to recover after the recent decline, but the market has not escaped pressure yet.
The short-term bounce is supported by a calmer inflation tone as oil prices pull back. Lower oil prices can reduce inflation fears and support the idea that the Fed may keep rates unchanged at the next policy meeting.
However, this does not automatically create a bullish reversal for gold.
The broader structure is still heavy. G
XAUUSD: Gold Recovers From the Lows — Can the Bounce Continue?🟡 TREND FORECAST
• Gold is showing a short-term rebound after buyers reacted strongly from the recent lower range.
• Price is now trading around 4156, but the recovery remains below the key 4176–4178 FVG and 4186–4187 Fibonacci resistance zones. As long as these areas continue to cap price, the short-term structure remains cautious.
Keylevel
• Resistance: 4176–4178 → 4186–4187 → 4213–4215 → 4236–4238
• Support: 4138–4136 → 4078–4075
🚀 TRADING STRATEGY
✅ Buy reactions around 4138–4136 remain fa
XAUUSD: Lower Demand Is Now the Battlefield XAUUSD: Lower Demand Is Now the Battlefield
Market Context
Gold had a heavy week.
Earlier this week, the focus was on whether buyers could reclaim 4,234, then 4,219, then 4,257. But each recovery attempt failed to gain real strength. Price remained under bearish pressure, trapped below key reclaim zones, while the US Dollar stayed firm and inflation concerns from oil kept pressure on risk sentiment.
Now the daily chart gives a clearer message: gold has returned to the Lower Demand Base.
Thi
XAUUSD — 4016 Sweep or Trendline Break? XAUUSD — 4016 Sweep or Trendline Break?
Gold is ending the week in a very important decision area.
After the strong selloff earlier this week, price reacted from the discount demand zone and tried to build a short-term recovery around 4,100 - 4,140. But the bigger structure is still not bullish yet.
The reason is simple: gold is still trading under the descending trendline.
Every recovery this week has been slow, heavy, and capped below the internal repricing zone. Buyers are defending the lower
MARKET KEY ZONE — DiscipleFx | October 5, 2026📊 MARKET KEY ZONE — DiscipleFx | October 5, 2026
XAUUSD — 1H Chart
Education/demo analysis only — not financial advice.
Market Structure
Bias: Bearish / Range-to-Bearish
- Price is around 4143.
- Price made a liquidity sweep near 4220, then strongly rejected.
- A visible CHoCH occurred after the rejection.
- Current price is below the 4160–4180 OTE/FVG area, showing short-term selling pressure.
- Higher resistance remains around 4215–4230.
Key Support & Resistance
Resistance
- 4160–4180: OTE
GIFT NIFTY: Could Hit Targets 20944, 20595 or 20353🌊 GIFT NIFTY 50 INDEX FUTURES — Elliott Wave Analysis
GIFT NIFTY appears to be developing a larger A-B-C corrective structure after completing a major five-wave advance at 26694.5 . Wave (V) completed at 26694.5, and price has now entered a corrective phase.
🎯 Targets:
Short-term: 20944 — 20595 — 20353
Longer-term: 17607 — 16822
🚨 Crucial level: 24798
Strong resistance / invalidation: 26695
A sustained move above 26694.5 would invalidate my current bearish corrective scenari
XAUUSD: One More Sweep Before Gold Targets the Fibo Zone?Gold is sitting at an interesting point on the H1 chart.
Price is trading around 4,155 after a major bearish leg that pushed XAUUSD from the 4,380 area into the 4,110 region. The important detail is that the broader structure has not changed yet. We still have a sequence of bearish BOS, lower highs and lower lows inside a descending structure.
But selling at the current price is not automatically the best trade.
The market is now sitting close to the same lower boundary that previously attrac
XAUUSD — H1 Sell-Side Sweep Before Premium Repricing
Market Structure
XAUUSD is attempting to rebuild bullish structure from the lower part of the H1 dealing range.
The previous expansion reached the marked Premium Supply near 4,210–4,225, but failed to hold there and produced sharp displacement back toward the H1 Discount Demand.
Price has since reacted from the 4,125 area and is recovering toward the internal Fibonacci structure around 4,163–4,175.
The broader recovery remains intact above lower dynamic support, but the current move has not yet
GOLD: 4200 Fake Breakout — Bearish Trend RemainsGOLD briefly broke above 4200 but quickly failed to hold, forming a fake breakout before returning to the downside.
The 4126 area is currently holding as support, showing buyers are attempting to defend the market. However, this does not change the broader bearish structure.
In the short term, watch the H1 range 4125–4160. A rebound toward 4180–4195, or even 4200, could provide another opportunity to test seller strength.
If 4180–4200 holds as resistance, the downside could resume toward 4100
H1 Major Demand Recovery Toward Reclaim
XAUUSD is trading around 4,141 after a sharp rejection from the 4,215–4,225 upper supply area. Price has returned to the lower boundary of the current rising H1 structure, where the 4,118–4,128 Major Demand / Channel Support Zone becomes the key decision area.
The latest U.S. labor data weakened significantly. September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, versus roughly 90,000 expected, while unemployment held at 4.2%. That reduced expectations for another Fed hike at the October meeting























