BTCUSD Retest Structure After Channel BreakdownAfter breaking out of the parallel channel structure, the market is continuing toward the downside while respecting the bearish trend. However, I believe the current bearish candle area may still get a retest before the next major move begins.
My expectation is that the market could perform a small pullback and retest the negative candle zone. If price reacts there and forms another bearish confirmation candle, then the downside continuation may become stronger.
At the same time, I also converted the previous demand area into a potential supply zone using the demand-to-supply interchange concept. Because of that, the marked lower zone is now acting as an important reversal area.
If the market reaches this zone and forms any strong positive candle or bullish confirmation, then a temporary upside reaction is also possible from that area.
For now, the market structure still looks bearish overall, but a short pullback before continuation would be completely normal. The reversal zone is already marked, and if proper retesting happens, the setup could become even cleaner.
At this stage, the next reaction around the retesting area will decide whether the market continues lower immediately or creates a short-term recovery move first. Bitcoin Rejected From 82K ResistanceBitcoin is losing momentum after multiple failed attempts to break above 82,000 USD. On the H4 chart, every recovery is being sold into, while EMA34 is starting to turn down and move closer to EMA89.
BTC has also failed to hold above EMA34, which suggests the market may be shifting into a short-term correction phase. Sellers are now defending the 80,500 – 81,500 USD zone.
If price continues closing below 79,000 USD, BTC could sweep liquidity toward 77,000 USD, with 75,500 USD as the next downside area.
However, this is not yet a major bearish reversal. As long as Bitcoin holds above 75,000 USD, the medium-term bullish structure remains intact. 
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My BTC Technical OutlookThis is a clean, well-structured 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on Bitstamp. mapped out a clear market structure shift from a bearish phase into a textbook bullish expansion, followed by a classic corrective pattern.
The Corrective Pattern & Trendline Weakness
"3 touch make a trendline weak": annotation here is spot on from a liquidity perspective. Retail traders see a descending channel or bull flag and place their stop-losses right above that upper boundary.
By the third touch, that trendline represents a dense pool of Buy Stop Liquidity (BSL). The market naturally wants to magnetize toward these areas to engineer liquidity.
The corrective channel itself looks like a standard bull flag/descending channel, showing a healthy, low-volume contraction after a major impulse move.
The LOC (Level of Commitment / Liquidity) Zone
marked a critical horizontal level at $77,568 (and the current price hovering right around it at $78,019).
This LOC line is beautifully placed because it aligns perfectly with the previous structural swing high formed in late April. In classic technical analysis, this is prior resistance turning into support. In institutional order flow, this is a major mitigation block where buyers are stepping back in to defend the structural higher-low.
Price just swept slightly below the lower boundary of the flag to tap this LOC, effectively flushing out late longs before showing immediate signs of absorption (evidenced by the small green candles and the current teal path projection).
Technical Outlook & Potential Play
The Bounce: Price is currently validating the LOC ($77,568). If the 4-hour candle closes decisively above this level, it confirms a successful retest.
The Breakout: The target of that initial bounce will be to break the "weak" upper trendline. Once that line snaps, the triggering of retail buy-stops should accelerate price rapidly through the 0.5 Fib levels.
The Target: A clean breakout of this flag targets a retest of the recent swing high (~$82,500), with measured move extensions pointing toward psychological resistance at $85,000 and beyond as we head into June.
Key Risk Invalidations: A decisive daily close below the LOC ($77,568) would jeopardize the immediate bullish momentum, likely dragging price down to fill the deeper inefficiency/FVG left behind in the late-April impulse leg down toward $75,000. 
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ETH/USD - Liquidity Sweep Into DemandEthereum is currently showing a Bearish Market Structure on the 30-minute timeframe after a decisive Break of Structure (BOS) below $2,228. However, price has now entered a major Demand Zone ($2,210 – $2,230) where it is currently hunting for liquidity.
The Bear Case: Price remains below the BOS line and the 200-EMA, keeping the primary trend downward. Heavy institutional selling and recent ETF outflows support this bearish pressure.
The Bull Case (Liquidity Sweep): The price is currently "sweeping" the weak lows near $2,212. If it rejects this level and closes back above $2,230, it confirms a Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling a potential reversal.
Sell Signal: If price fails to reclaim $2,228 and breaks below $2,205.
Buy Signal: If price closes a 30-minute candle above $2,230 after sweeping the lows. Long 
